Oct. 16, 2010 - 3:30pm - Harrisonburg, VA
Televised on Madizone, The Comcast Network, and Comcast SportsNet New England
Weather Report
| Tailgating | 8am | 43° | 10% (precip) |
| Mid-tailgate | 12pm | 60° | 10% |
| Getting into the stadium | 3pm | 62° | 10% |
| Kickoff | 3:30pm | 62° | 10% |
| Game over | 6:30pm | 58° | 20% |
Line for the game
JMU by 3.5
Injuries
DT Emmons, LB Veney, and QB Thorpe are likely out for the year. OL Monroe has been out since the beginning of the season, so not sure if he'll be back anytime soon. RB Yancey (hamstring), RB Sullivan, TE Barlow, and K Wright (quad) are probable for tomorrow.
The Numbers (game averages)
JMU Sagarin (40); Strength of Schedule: 62.79 (124)
JMU Rushing Offense: 191 yds - UNH Rushing Defense: 139 yds
JMU Passing Offense: 129 yds - UNH Passing Defense: 149 yds
JMU Total Offense: 320 yds - UNH Total Defense: 288 yds
JMU Scoring Offense: 21.2 - UNH Scoring Defense: 16
JMU Sacks allowed: .4 - UNH Sacks: 1.83
UNH Sagarin (192); Strength of Schedule: 54.27 (187)
UNH Rushing Offense: 128 yds - JMU Rushing Defense: 121 yds
UNH Passing Offense: 238 yds - JMU Passing Defense: 128 yds
UNH Total Offense: 366 yds - JMU Total Defense: 249 yds
UNH Scoring Offense: 22.5 - JMU Scoring Defense: 10.4
UNH Sacks allowed: 3.17 - JMU Sacks: 1
JMU predictor: 71.52 (+3 home); UNH predictor 61.58 = JMU by 12.94
What to watch
JMU's offense against Towson struggled once again. Dropped passes by wide receivers, errant passes by Dudzik, and some porous blocking on the line led to JMU only getting 17 points against a fairly weak team (though their QB was much better than expected). With a windy day expected tomorrow, I'm guessing JMU will once again go without making long passes down the field. Expect a few short routes and that's about it. The rest will be pounded out on the ground. With Sullivan and Yancey both questionable, expect Noble to get a shot at producing some yards on the ground. He might finally get a chance to show what he can do as an every-down back. UNH's defense is okay, but nothing spectacular. Their team is usually behind on turnovers, but the difference last week was that Richmond had to put their 3rd string QB in who is usually their punter after their first string QB was injured on the first drive and UNH's defense took advantage.
UNH's offense luckily is just as bad if not worse than JMU's. After getting 7 turnovers from their defense, the Wildcat's offense only picked up 10 points. I would actually consider it 7 points as the field goal came on a drive of -2 yards before they kicked the field goal.
RU turnovers and subsequent drives by UNH:
Interception (from Corp) returned for TD...
Fumble on UNH 42, 3 and out...punt
Interception on UNH 35, drove to RU 30...punt
Interception on RU 35, returned to RU 15, 3 and out...FG
Interception on UNH 7, 1 first down, sacked...punt
Interception on RU 41, 3 and out...punt
Interception on UNH 23...ran time out
They beat CCSU 33-3, lost at Pitt 16-38, lost at Rhode Island 25-28 (really? URI?), beat Lehigh 31-10, lost at Maine in overtime 13-16, and beat Richmond last week 17-0 at home. They only gained 66 yards on the ground and 166 yards in the air after having an extra 7 drives. I'm not intimidated by their offense.
Their special teams has been pretty good. Ours has looked fantastic at times and rather weak at others. Whoever wins this battle will depend on which of our special teams decides to play.
The Series
JMU has played UNH twice since our National Championship year and we've won both in high scoring games (42-23, 41-24). The last time they won was in 2003. This is their first year having to play many of the former CAA south teams in the same year and we're seeing the effect on them.
My Thoughts
Our offense can hopefully be counted on to score at least two touchdowns and a field goal. UNH hasn't been that fantastic on defense, so I think we can get to the crucial 17 point mark. Our defense has been incredible and I don't expect that to end anytime soon. Judging by the Richmond game last week we can probably hold them under 250-300 yards. While I don't think this will be the blowout the last couple meetings have been, I do think the Homecoming crowd will have our team ready to play. If Sullivan and Yancey are out or limited, look for Noble to handily break the 100 yard mark in this game. I'm also hoping that we at least take a shot or two down the field and try to take advantage of our speed at WR. Also look for our safeties to get at least one more interception...they're kinda good at that...
Windbreaker prediction: JMU - 17, UNH - 13 (seems like we're gonna have to get used to scores like this
Game Notes
JMU Game Notes
Score Updates
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And as always...
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