JMU Dukes (5-5, 3-4)
Nov. 21, 2009 - 3:00pm - Harrisonburg, VA
Watch the game on Madizone
Weather Report
| Tailgating | 8am | 40° | 10% (precip) |
| Mid-tailgate | 11am | 51° | 10% |
| Getting into the stadium | 2am | 56° | 10% |
| Kickoff | 3pm | 57° | 0% |
| Game over | 6pm | 49° | 0% |
Line for the game
JMU by 28
The Numbers (game averages)
JMU Sagarin Strength of Schedule: 61.44 (199)
JMU Rushing Offense: 177 yds - Towson Rushing Defense: 176 yds
JMU Passing Offense: 147 yds - Towson Passing Defense: 179 yds
JMU Total Offense: 325 yds - Towson Total Defense: 355 yds
JMU Scoring Offense: 20 - Towson Scoring Defense: 36
JMU Sacks Allowed: 1.70 - Towson Sacks: 1.70
Towson Sagarin Strength of Schedule: 58.37 (128)
Towson Rushing Offense: 107 yds - JMU Rushing Defense: 135 yds
Towson Passing Offense: 144 yds - JMU Passing Defense: 155 yds
Towson Total Offense: 251 yds - JMU Total Defense: 290 yds
Towson Scoring Offense: 14 - JMU Scoring Defense: 20
Towson Sacks Allowed: 2.30 - JMU Sacks: 2.60
What to watch
JMU's offense is getting better every week. Unfortunately, it was raining for last week's game, so our passing game was limited. The weather will be perfect this week, so I expect to see a lot more passing. We'll be trying to put some points on the board and put on a show for our seniors. Caussin is only 66 yards off becoming only the second tight end to hit the 1000-yards receiving mark. Justin Thorpe has set the freshman quarterback rushing record. He's close to becoming the second highest freshman rusher in school history. After Noble's performance last week, I would expect him to get a good number of the carries again.
Towson has gone through five quarterbacks this year and has a terrible offensive line. Knowing that...let's talk for a minute about Arthur Moats. He has 11 sacks this season, only one off of Chris Morants record of 12. I think it's pretty much guaranteed he'll get set this record. Chris Morant's next record is a 33 career sacks, four more than Moats currently has. This is certainly within Moats' reach and I think that he could certainly pass Morant's record. Oh, just in case you didn't know, Moats also leads the team in tackles for loss (23.5) and tackles (83) this season.
I'd also expect the defense to get at least one interception. Most likely it will be by Jamaris Sanders, but could be by Scotty or Jakarie. Our secondary has been playing great this year and I don't expect that to change for a terrible quarterback.
Scotty also hasn't returned a kick or punt for a touchdown this year after being tied for both JMU records after last year and being on off the combined record for all of FCS. When better to do it than his last college game against a terrible team.
The Series
JMU and Towson first met in 1976, and they met every season from then through 1992 except for 1980. JMU leads the series 15-5-1, has a 9-1 lead in games at JMU, has won the last five games overall and the last six at JMU, and won 58-27 last season at Towson.
My Thoughts
Towson's only two wins are against a bad Coastal Carolina team (5-5) and a Rhode Island team that only has one win this season. I think the chances of Towson winning are about the same as us getting into the playoffs. According to JMU alum Erik Pitzer...that's about 0.3%. I think all of younger players are going to be getting ready for next year. Our seniors are going to be playing to pad their stats and get that last look from scouts. Arthur will get at least four sacks. The defense as a whole will have at least nine. Sanders will get an interception. Scotty will return a kickoff for a touchdown. Thorpe will run for two touchdowns and throw for three. Rockeed and Caussin will have at least one touchdown each. We will gain 400+ yards and will hold them below 200 yards.
Windbreaker prediction: JMU - 38, Towson - 7
Game Notes
JMU Game Notes
Score Updates
To get score updates on Twitter, subscribe to @JMUWindbreaker. I'll be posting scores at the end of each quarter and any major action that happens.
Live Video
Check Qik.com/JMUWindbreaker towards the end of the game or for big goal line plays (basically whenever I feel something good might be coming). I'm still experimenting with this and will hopefully get it up and running for the end of basketball games, so bare with me at the start.
And as always...
Just thought id point out that if you do the math you have JMU scoring At minimum 42 points, and as much as 56 if Rockeed and Caussin's TDs dont come from Thorpe. Just saying 35 must be your "trying not to get too big for your britches JMU" score.
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