Friday, October 8, 2010

GAMEDAY EVE Report: JMU Football vs. Towson

#6/7 JMU Dukes (3-1, 0-1) vs.Towson Tigers (1-4, 0-2)
Oct. 9, 2010 - 7:00pm - Towson, Md


Televised on Madizone


Weather Report
Tailgating8am56° 0% (precip)
Mid-tailgate1pm72°0%
Getting into the stadium6pm70°0%
Kickoff7pm67°0%
Game over3pm60°0%

Line for the game

JMU by 21

Injuries
DT Emmons (ankle), RB Yancey (hamstring), and K Wright (quad) are out tomorrow.

The Numbers (game averages)
JMU Sagarin (65); Strength of Schedule: 60.90 (120)
JMU Rushing Offense: 194 yds - Towson Rushing Defense: 198 yds
JMU Passing Offense: 128 yds - Towson Passing Defense: 181 yds
JMU Total Offense: 321 yds - Towson Total Defense: 379 yds
JMU Scoring Offense: 22 - Towson Scoring Defense: 38
JMU Sacks allowed: .50 - Towson Sacks: 1.4

Towson Sagarin (192); Strength of Schedule: 59.74 (128)
Towson Rushing Offense: 135 yds - JMU Rushing Defense: 109 yds
Towson Passing Offense: 172 yds - JMU Passing Defense: 137 yds
Towson Total Offense: 307 yds - JMU Total Defense: 246 yds
Towson Scoring Offense: 19 - JMU Scoring Defense: 9.75
Towson Sacks allowed: 1.8 - JMU Sacks: 1

JMU predictor: 69.47; Towson predictor 42.02 (+3 home) = JMU by 24.45

What to watch
Against Delaware, our offense struggled. They usually weren't left in a good spot by the special teams though, because there were penalties on many of our returns. The offense had to dig itself out of a whole most times and they found it difficult to power through the middle of Delaware's defense. Still waiting for us to feature the eagle more prominently and to make more throws to our tight ends. We also haven't thrown many long passes, which is more of a product of our offensive line not giving Dudzik time, which really limits our offense and lets the other team have a more focused defense. Against Towson, our offensive line should be able to give Dudzik some time so he can get in rhythm going into the heart of CAA play.

Towson is the perennial doormat of the CAA. This year, they started out the season getting trounced at Indiana. Then they played now #185 ranked Coastal Carolina at home and it took 5 overtimes for them to win. Villanova was their next game up, and they got destroyed 7-43. Then came a bad Columbia team, who they lost to 10-24. Last week, UMass beat them 27-14 in a game that stayed fairly close for a lot of the game. They haven't beaten a CAA team (not named URI) since 2007 when they beat Richmond by 2.

Even with an extra 5 overtimes against a bad team (CCU) to boost their stats, they're averaging just over 300 yards of offense per game. They're also allowing almost 400 yards on defense. Indiana was the only team they scored over 17 points on, and they're averaging 13.8 points in regulation. Our defense on the other hand is giving up only 9 points a game and our first-team defense has given up only 2 touchdowns the entire year. This year's defense has also given up zero fourth-down conversions.

The Series
JMU has won the last 6 games. Towson hasn't won since 1992.

My Thoughts
This is a shorter write-up than usual, but I don't expect Towson to really give us too much trouble. For everyone not going to the game, you should be spending your Saturday getting everything ready for Homecoming. Feel free to watch replays of games from 2004, the App State game from 2008, or the VT game and yell as loud as you can with it over the next week to have your voice in top condition for next week's game against UNH. While the crowd noise last week was okay for family weekend, it is the complete opposite of what I expect for Homecoming. I expect a rocking crowd in 8 days. The "GO" "DUKES" chant between the student and alumni sides was awesome, but could be much louder. Can't wait to hear a full crowd yelling it for an afternoon game as the sun is going down. Oh, right...the game tomorrow. We'll score a few touchdowns and a couple field goals. If we go up by more than 2 touchdowns and aren't kneeling the ball by the beginning of the 4th quarter, look for Towson to start whining. Towson will be lucky to get a couple field goals. If they don't get any turnovers or big penalties, I doubt they even get that. My 3 goals for this game: get the offense in rhythm, give the defense a rest, and cut down on penalties.

Windbreaker prediction: JMU - 27, Towson - 6

Game Notes
JMU Game Notes

Score Updates
To get score updates on Twitter, subscribe to @JMUWindbreaker. I'll be posting scores at the end of each quarter and any major action that happens.





JMU Auto Emblems
Don't forget to support the JMU Windbreaker and purchase a JMU Chrome Auto Emblem from the Start Wearing Purple Store! Order by Tuesday (Wednesday might work too) to guarantee yours by Friday!

And as always...

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